NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
2-1-2 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
4-1-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Matt Murray
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Murray | None-None | 1.85 | 0.900 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.88 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.85 Ldr
GAA
1.88
0.900 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
32%
SENATORS
68%
▲ Edge: +4.60% (OTT)
PREDATORS
41%
Book Odds: +142
SENATORS
63%
Book Odds: -170
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5
42%
Under 5.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
NSH By 1 goal
9.2%
NSH By 2-3 goals
6.1%
OTT By 1 goal
19.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2
Ottawa
3.5
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Senators
Win
68% Win Prob
B
Sim
Senators
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Predators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Predators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
B
Sim
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 10, 2026
NSH @ OTT
2 - 3
Jan 22, 2026
OTT @ NSH
3 - 5
Oct 13, 2025
NSH @ OTT
4 - 1
Feb 3, 2025
OTT @ NSH
5 - 2
Dec 7, 2024
NSH @ OTT
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+51.7% more
Ottawa: 29.8
vs
Nashville: 19.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.8% more
Ottawa: 26.4
vs
Nashville: 22.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.8% more
Ottawa: 17.6
vs
Nashville: 15.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.5%
Ottawa: 53.3%
vs
Nashville: 47.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
2.0
2
OTT Score
3.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.6 / 15.0
15.0 / 26.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 47.8
54.7 / 45.3
Hits
29.8 / 19.6
20.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
11.1 / 45.4
16.7 / 16.7
Shots on Goal
26.4 / 22.0
20.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 5.1
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +136 / -162
→
+142 / -170
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
5.5
↓
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NSH
OTT
NSH
ML
46%
6-7
58%
7-5
46%
6-7
42%
5-7
ATS
31%
4-9
25%
3-9
62%
8-5
67%
8-4
TTL
54%
7-6
58%
7-5
62%
8-5
50%
6-6
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