DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
1-3-1 | Road
0
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
2-2-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Daniil Tarasov
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00
GAA
0.00
1.000
Save %
1.000
1
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
38%
CANADIENS
62%
RED WINGS
39%
Book Odds: +160
CANADIENS
66%
Book Odds: -192
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
34%
Under 6.5
66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
9.2%
DET By 2-3 goals
6.1%
MTL By 1 goal
19.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2.50
Montreal
3.5
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2.50
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canadiens
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
A
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 10, 2026
DET @ MTL
0 - 1
Mar 19, 2026
MTL @ DET
1 - 3
Jan 10, 2026
DET @ MTL
4 - 0
Oct 9, 2025
MTL @ DET
5 - 1
Apr 8, 2025
DET @ MTL
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+12.0% more
Montreal: 4.2
vs
Detroit: 3.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.6%
Montreal: 53.3%
vs
Detroit: 51.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.5% more
Detroit: 33.0
vs
Montreal: 26.6
Power Play % (L5)
+19.3%
Detroit: 23.0%
vs
Montreal: 3.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.0
0
MTL Score
3.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 12.7
12.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 51.7
56.7 / 43.3
Hits
20.6 / 23.9
19.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
371.0 / 2300.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 33.0
30.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.8
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +180 / -218
→
+160 / -192
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
DET
MTL
DET
ML
75%
9-3
58%
7-5
42%
5-7
50%
6-6
ATS
42%
5-7
25%
3-9
83%
10-2
75%
9-3
TTL
33%
4-8
17%
2-10
50%
6-6
33%
4-8
Contextual Game News
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Axel Sandin-Pellikka Stuck in Red Wings Press Box as Grand Rapid…
Jacob Fowler's Shutout Masterclass and Kirby Dach's Resurgence F…
Dylan Larkin Trade Buzz: Red Wings' Steep Price, Canadiens' Inte…