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MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

3-1-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 10 • 6:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

2-1-2  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
@
Jacob Markstrom
GOALTENDER

Jacob Markstrom

#25 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 1.00 0.967 --
Jacob Markstrom None-None 3.12 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.12
0.967 Ldr Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
51%
📊
PANTHERS
49%
▲ Edge: +4.80% (MIN)
WILD 46% Book Odds: +118
PANTHERS 57% Book Odds: -130
Book Implied: 45.90% / 56.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.0 34%
Under 6.0 66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Minnesota)
WildMIN (+1.5) 0 PanthersFLA (-1.5)
Minnesota Wild (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

75.8%

Panthers Cover

24.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1 goal

19.4%

MIN By 2-3 goals

33.3%

FLA By 1 goal

9.8%

FLA By 2-3 goals

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.20
1.8
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.20
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wild Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Wild (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.4
A
Sim Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Sim o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 10, 2026 MIN @ FLA 4 - 1
Mar 26, 2026 MIN @ FLA 3 - 2
Jan 24, 2026 FLA @ MIN 4 - 3
Dec 18, 2024 FLA @ MIN 6 - 1
Oct 22, 2024 MIN @ FLA 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +37.0%
Minnesota: 39.5% vs Florida: 2.5%
Takeaways (L5) +18.3% more
Minnesota: 3.9 vs Florida: 3.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.9% more
Minnesota: 15.3 vs Florida: 12.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.7% more
Minnesota: 29.8 vs Florida: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.2 4
FLA Score 1.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.7 / 15.3 4.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 48.3 / 50.6 36.8 / 63.2
Hits 31.5 / 24.0 30.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 2.5 / 39.5 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 26.0 / 29.8 30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 3.2 / 3.9 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +130 / +124 → +118 / -130 ↑
33%TICKETS67%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
71%TICKETS29%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
82%TICKETS18%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
MIN
FLA
MIN
ML
62% 8-5
71% 10-4
38% 5-8
43% 6-8
ATS
54% 7-6
50% 7-7
38% 5-8
50% 7-7
TTL
62% 8-5
77% 10-3-1
46% 6-7
69% 9-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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