PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-4-2 | Road
1
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
4-2-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 5.00 | 0.844 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.01 | 0.933 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 1.01
0.844
Save %
Ldr 0.933
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
35%
BRUINS
65%
▲ Edge: +5.70% (BOS)
FLYERS
45%
Book Odds: +124
BRUINS
60%
Book Odds: -148
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
58%
Under 5.5
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1 goal
8.6%
PHI By 2-3 goals
5.5%
BOS By 1 goal
18.9%
BOS By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Boston
3.8
BOSTON
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Boston
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Bruins
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Bruins
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Flyers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 10, 2026
PHI @ BOS
1 - 5
Apr 5, 2026
BOS @ PHI
1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026
PHI @ BOS
3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025
PHI @ BOS
3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025
BOS @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+29.5% more
Boston: 5.4
vs
Philadelphia: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+16.7%
Boston: 25.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 8.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.8% more
Boston: 16.5
vs
Philadelphia: 15.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Philadelphia: 52.2%
vs
Boston: 49.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.2
1
BOS Score
3.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 15.2
9.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 52.2
55.1 / 44.9
Hits
27.6 / 26.4
25.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
25.0 / 8.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 21.7
32.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 4.1
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +110 / -130
→
+124 / -148
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
77%
10-3
53%
8-7
38%
5-8
40%
6-9
ATS
62%
8-5
40%
6-9
46%
6-7
53%
8-7
TTL
62%
8-5
53%
8-7
38%
5-8
47%
7-8
Contextual Game News
Tuch's Early Goal-Scoring Feat Propels Capitals Past Flyers, 5-2
Flyers Mourn Passing of Original Star Andre Lacroix at 81
Deslauriers' Marathon Brawl Ignites Hurricanes in 2-1 Victory Ov…
Flyers Organization Grieves Passing of Original Member André Lac…
Patrice Bergeron Embraces Hockey Dad Role, Cheers on Bruins' Rise