CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
84-78 | Road
0
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
85-77 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Cade Smith | None-None | 1.35 | -- | 1.2 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.15
ERA
Ldr 1.35
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
45%
GUARDIANS
55%
▲ Edge: +0.90% (CHW)
WHITE SOX
44%
Book Odds: +127
GUARDIANS
59%
Book Odds: -142
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.0
65%
Under 7.0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.80
Cleveland
5.5
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.80
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 10, 2026
CHW @ CLE
0 - 2
Oct 8, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 5
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Cleveland
CLE
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.826
▲
OPS
.696
1
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+16100.0% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+36.0% more
Cleveland: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+30.3% more
Cleveland: 14.5
vs
Chicago: 11.1
Walks (L5)
+27.5% more
Cleveland: 6.3
vs
Chicago: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.5
0
CLE Score
5.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.6 / 7.4
6.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.9 / 12.7
7.0 / 21.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 11.1
11.0 / 3.0
Walks
6.3 / 4.9
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +119 / -144
→
+127 / -142
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7
→
7
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-81-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
CLE
90-83-0
(52.0%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
CLE
(49.7%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-70-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +0.9
CLE
84-88-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHW
CLE
CHW
ML
54%
92-77
49%
82-87
49%
84-86
56%
94-75
ATS
57%
97-72
59%
100-69
57%
97-73
55%
93-76
TTL
55%
92-75-2
58%
97-70-2
43%
72-95-2
51%
85-82-2
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