ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
94-68 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
100-62 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Dodd
#46 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tarik Skubal
#29 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Dodd | 0-0 | 13.50 | 1.50 | 0.2 | -- |
| Tarik Skubal | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -- | -- |
0-0
W-L
0-0
13.50
ERA
Ldr 0.00
1.50
WHIP
Ldr 0.00
0.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
28%
DODGERS
72%
▲ Edge: +3.40% (LAD)
BRAVES
34%
Book Odds: +194
DODGERS
68%
Book Odds: -214
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.4 (Over)
Over 8.0
57%
Under 8.0
43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ATL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
3.2
ATLANTA
Book Implied: 3.20
Los Angeles
5.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Book Implied: 3.20
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Dodgers
Win
72% Win Prob
A
Sim
Dodgers
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o8.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.4
C
Sim
o8.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
.757
OPS
▲
.762
1
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20300.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+28.5% more
Los Angeles: 8.4
vs
Atlanta: 6.6
Walks (L5)
+22.3% more
Los Angeles: 3.8
vs
Atlanta: 3.1
Errors (L5)
+17.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.2
vs
Atlanta: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
3.2
3
LAD Score
5.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 6.6
8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.7
3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.7
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.2 / 13.0
17.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.1
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +190 / -214
→
+194 / -214
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ATL
LAD
ATL
ML
56%
92-73
46%
77-90
48%
79-87
54%
90-78
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
96-71
43%
72-94
52%
87-81
TTL
48%
77-82-6
53%
83-73-11
44%
70-90-6
49%
76-80-11
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