ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
3-1-0 | Road
5
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
3-1-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Clay Stevenson
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 1.00 | 0.938 | -- |
| Clay Stevenson | None-None | 4.28 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.28
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
48%
JETS
52%
DUCKS
49%
Book Odds: +105
JETS
54%
Book Odds: -116
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
ANA By 1 goal
8.6%
ANA By 2-3 goals
5.5%
WPG By 1 goal
18.9%
WPG By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Winnipeg
3.8
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Ducks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 9, 2026
ANA @ WPG
5 - 1
Mar 10, 2026
ANA @ WPG
4 - 1
Feb 27, 2026
WPG @ ANA
4 - 5
Nov 9, 2025
WPG @ ANA
1 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
ANA @ WPG
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.7% more
Winnipeg: 27.7
vs
Anaheim: 23.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.7%
Winnipeg: 46.6%
vs
Anaheim: 42.9%
Hits (L5)
+34.2% more
Anaheim: 29.7
vs
Winnipeg: 19.5
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
Anaheim: 26.2%
vs
Winnipeg: 21.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.2
5
WPG Score
3.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 14.6
9.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
46.6 / 42.9
47.6 / 52.4
Hits
19.5 / 29.7
14.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
2095.0 / 2620.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 23.9
16.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 3.6
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +100 / -120
→
+105 / -116
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
ANA
WPG
ANA
ML
58%
7-5
33%
4-8
50%
6-6
58%
7-5
ATS
17%
2-10
25%
3-9
92%
11-1
50%
6-6
TTL
50%
6-6
55%
6-5-1
67%
8-4
45%
5-6-1
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