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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

3-1-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Thu, Oct 8 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

0-4-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 3.00 0.897 --
Devin Cooley None-None 7.00 0.767 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 7.00
0.897 Ldr Save % 0.767
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
78%
📊
FLAMES
22%
▲ Edge: +7.60% (COL)
AVALANCHE 70% Book Odds: -238
FLAMES 34% Book Odds: +195
Book Implied: 70.40% / 33.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5 42%
Under 6.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CALGARY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
AvalancheCOL (-1.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

22.7%

Flames Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

COL By 1 goal

19.1%

COL By 2-3 goals

34.1%

CGY By 1 goal

9.2%

CGY By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4
2
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4
4
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Avalanche Win
78% Win Prob
A
Sim Flames Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Flames (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 8, 2026 COL @ CGY 7 - 3
Apr 14, 2026 COL @ CGY 3 - 1
Apr 9, 2026 CGY @ COL 1 - 3
Mar 30, 2026 CGY @ COL 2 - 9
Mar 31, 2025 CGY @ COL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +19.8% more
Colorado: 14.0 vs Calgary: 11.2
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.8% more
Colorado: 32.2 vs Calgary: 27.5
Takeaways (L5) +10.9% more
Colorado: 5.1 vs Calgary: 4.5
Power Play % (L5) +7.8%
Colorado: 35.6% vs Calgary: 27.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 3.5 7
CGY Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.2 / 14.0 15.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 51.1 / 45.5 41.4 / 58.6
Hits 23.7 / 20.6 23.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 2778.0 / 3556.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.5 / 32.2 29.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 5.1 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -218 / +180 → -238 / +195 ↓
83%TICKETS17%
99%MONEY1%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
82%TICKETS18%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
70%TICKETS30%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
COL
CGY
COL
ML
42% 5-7
54% 7-6
50% 6-6
54% 7-6
ATS
33% 4-8
62% 8-5
50% 6-6
54% 7-6
TTL
55% 6-5-1
31% 4-9
36% 4-7-1
77% 10-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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