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SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

3-1-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Oct 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

1-2-1  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 1.97 0.923 --
Joel Hofer None-None 2.96 0.889 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.97 Ldr GAA 2.96
0.923 Ldr Save % 0.889
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
26%
📊
BLUES
74%
▲ Edge: +12.20% (STL)
SHARKS 50% Book Odds: +100
BLUES 62% Book Odds: -162
Book Implied: 50% / 61.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 59%
Under 5.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
SharksSJ (+1.5) 0 BluesSTL (-1.5)
St. Louis Blues (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

21.2%

Blues Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

SJ By 1 goal

8.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

5.5%

STL By 1 goal

18.9%

STL By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2
3.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
4
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2
2
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Blues Loss
74% Win Prob
A
Sim Sharks Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 8, 2026 SJ @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 30, 2026 STL @ SJ 4 - 5
Mar 26, 2026 SJ @ STL 1 - 2
Mar 6, 2026 STL @ SJ 3 - 2
Dec 12, 2024 SJ @ STL 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +43.8% more
San Jose: 5.9 vs St. Louis: 3.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +40.9% more
San Jose: 18.8 vs St. Louis: 11.1
Hits (L5) +8.1% more
San Jose: 25.5 vs St. Louis: 23.4
Power Play % (L5) +5.5%
San Jose: 22.2% vs St. Louis: 16.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 2.2 3
STL Score 3.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.1 / 18.8 12.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 43.8 / 43.8 50.8 / 49.2
Hits 23.4 / 25.5 24.0 / 37.0
Power Play % 1667.0 / 2220.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.8 / 24.1 26.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 3.3 / 5.9 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +100 / -105 → +100 / -162 ↑
34%TICKETS66%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5 ↑
71%TICKETS29%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
79%TICKETS21%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
SJ
STL
SJ
ML
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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