NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
2-1-1 | Road
5
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
1-2-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 2.00 | 0.941 | -- |
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 3.06 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.06
0.941 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
41%
CANADIENS
59%
PREDATORS
41%
Book Odds: +142
CANADIENS
61%
Book Odds: -158
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.0
42%
Under 6.0
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
NSH By 1 goal
9.2%
NSH By 2-3 goals
6.1%
MTL By 1 goal
19.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2.20
Montreal
3.5
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
Nashville
4
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2.20
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canadiens
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Predators
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Predators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Predators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 8, 2026
NSH @ MTL
5 - 2
Mar 28, 2026
MTL @ NSH
4 - 1
Oct 16, 2025
NSH @ MTL
2 - 3
Apr 6, 2025
MTL @ NSH
2 - 1
Dec 5, 2024
NSH @ MTL
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+14.3% more
Montreal: 23.4
vs
Nashville: 20.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.3%
Montreal: 54.5%
vs
Nashville: 47.2%
Power Play % (L5)
+42.6%
Nashville: 48.2%
vs
Montreal: 5.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.7% more
Nashville: 14.4
vs
Montreal: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
2.0
5
MTL Score
3.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.9 / 14.4
9.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.5 / 47.2
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
23.4 / 20.4
15.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
5.6 / 48.2
0.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
22.9 / 23.0
34.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.1
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +164 / -198
→
+142 / -158
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6
↓
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
NSH
MTL
NSH
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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