PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-3-2 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
3-1-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joseph Woll
#53 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | None-None | 2.06 | 0.923 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.06
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.923
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
45%
SENATORS
55%
▲ Edge: +5.90% (PHI)
FLYERS
39%
Book Odds: +156
SENATORS
64%
Book Odds: -174
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
74%
Under 5.5
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
9.8%
PHI By 2-3 goals
6.6%
OTT By 1 goal
19.4%
OTT By 2-3 goals
33.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Ottawa
4.2
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.4
D
Sim
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Sim
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 17, 2026
OTT @ PHI
1 - 3
Oct 8, 2026
PHI @ OTT
1 - 2
Feb 5, 2026
OTT @ PHI
2 - 1
Nov 8, 2025
OTT @ PHI
3 - 2
Oct 23, 2025
PHI @ OTT
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+47.5% more
Ottawa: 26.6
vs
Philadelphia: 18.0
Hits (L5)
+16.0% more
Ottawa: 33.1
vs
Philadelphia: 28.6
Power Play % (L5)
+6.7%
Ottawa: 6.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 0.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.8
1
OTT Score
4.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 17.2
20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
53.5 / 54.7
52.8 / 47.2
Hits
33.1 / 28.6
23.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
6.7 / 0.0
20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 18.0
26.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -108 / +105
→
+156 / -174
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
PHI
OTT
PHI
ML
46%
6-7
53%
8-7
46%
6-7
40%
6-9
ATS
31%
4-9
40%
6-9
62%
8-5
53%
8-7
TTL
54%
7-6
53%
8-7
62%
8-5
47%
7-8
Contextual Game News
Tuch's Early Goal-Scoring Feat Propels Capitals Past Flyers, 5-2
Flyers Mourn Passing of Original Star Andre Lacroix at 81
Jack Hughes Loses Tooth Again in Front of Connor Hellebuyck, Who…
Flyers Organization Grieves Passing of Original Member André Lac…
Mitch Marner Rejoins Golden Knights After Welcoming Second Son