Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Ipswich vs Fulham Ipswich vs Fulham

IPSWICHIPSWICH

3-0-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Oct 10 • 10:00 AM ET
Portman Road

FULHAMFULHAM

0-2-3  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
IPSWICH
18%
DRAW
21%
FULHAM
61%
▲ Edge: +15.10% (Fulham)
32% Book Odds: +215
DRAW 29% Book Odds: +247
42% Book Odds: +137
Book Implied: 31.70% / 28.80% / 42.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 71%
Under 2.75 29%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
FULHAM
Book Goal Line
-0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 goals (Fulham)
IpswichIpswich (+0.2) 0 FulhamFulham (-0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

47.6% / 52.4%

Shots (On Goal)

11(5) / 13(5)

Corners

2 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

25.2%

Cover

74.8%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Fulham -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Fulham)

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

11.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

4.8%

Fulham By 1 goal

26.1%

Fulham By 2+ goals

36.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.20
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.20
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fulham Loss
57% Win Prob
C
Sim Fulham Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fulham (-0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Sim Fulham (-0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Sim o2.8
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 10, 2026 Ipswich vs Fulham 2 - 1
Jan 5, 2025 Fulham vs Ipswich 2 - 2
Aug 31, 2024 Ipswich vs Fulham 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Fulham: 2.0 vs Ipswich: 0.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +100.0% more
Fulham: 7.0 vs Ipswich: 14.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Fulham: 2.0 vs Ipswich: 4.0
Goals Scored (L5) +16.7% more
Ipswich: 7.0 vs Fulham: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Fulham Score 2.0 1
Ipswich Town Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 18.3% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 60.6%
Ipswich Town (Home) vs Fulham (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Ipswich Town Share: 33.3% Fulham Share: 66.7%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Ipswich Town
Fulham
Ipswich Town
Fulham
ML
33% 2-4
33% 2-4
33% 2-4
33% 2-4
ATS
55% 3-2
50% 3-3
27% 1-4
33% 2-4
TTL
9% 0-5
82% 4-1
64% 3-2
64% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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