CAROLINA
PANTHERSCAR
3-2 | Road
25
PHILADELPHIA
EAGLESPHI
2-4 | Home
14
Key Game
KEY GAME
DeVonta Smith
#43 | Cornerback@
KEY GAME
Braden Mann
#10 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| DeVonta Smith | None-None |
| Braden Mann | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
31%
EAGLES
69%
▲ Edge: +26.90% (PHI)
PANTHERS
61%
Book Odds: -155
EAGLES
42%
Book Odds: +140
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
39.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +9.0 (Over)
Over 39.0
74%
Under 39.0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+3
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CAR By 1-6 points
14.7%
CAR By 7-13 points
12.1%
PHI By 1-6 points
17.0%
PHI By 7-13 points
18.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
22
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 21
Philadelphia
26
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 18
Simulated Score
Carolina
25
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 21
Philadelphia
18
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 18
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Eagles
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Sim
Panthers
Win
75% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Eagles (+3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
A
Sim
Panthers (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o39.0
Push
Proj Total: 48.0
A
Sim
o39.0
Push
Proj Total: 43.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 18, 2026
CAR @ PHI
25 - 14
Dec 8, 2024
CAR @ PHI
16 - 22
Oct 10, 2021
PHI @ CAR
21 - 18
Oct 21, 2018
CAR @ PHI
21 - 17
Oct 12, 2017
PHI @ CAR
28 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.8
vs
Carolina: 0.7
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+39.6% more
Carolina: 276.3
vs
Philadelphia: 166.9
First Downs (L5)
+36.5% more
Carolina: 23.0
vs
Philadelphia: 14.6
Total Yards (L5)
+35.6% more
Carolina: 385.1
vs
Philadelphia: 248.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
22.0
25
PHI Score
26.0
14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
14.6 / 23.0
17.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards
166.9 / 276.3
187.0 / 273.0
Rushing Yards
81.2 / 108.9
35.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.4 / 0.41
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards
248.0 / 385.1
222.0 / 399.0
Turnovers
0.8 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
4.3 / 5.7
3.6 / 5.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +225 / -278
→
-155 / +140
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +6.5 / -6.5
→
-3 / +3
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 43.5
→
39
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAR
Advantage
3-3-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -1.8
PHI
2-5-0
(28.6%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -6.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAR
Advantage
3-3-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -1.8
PHI
1-6-0
(14.3%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -6.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CAR
3-3-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +9.4
PHI
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
57%
4-3
17%
1-5
57%
4-3
67%
4-2
ATS
29%
2-5
50%
3-3
71%
5-2
83%
5-1
TTL
50%
3-3-1
80%
4-1-1
67%
4-2-1
20%
1-4-1
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