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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

3-0-1  |  Road

5
FINAL
Wed, Oct 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

2-1-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Devon Levi
GOALTENDER

Devon Levi

#27 | Goaltender
@
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devon Levi None-None 2.01 0.935 --
Ville Husso None-None 0.00 1.000 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.01 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.935 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
52%
📊
DUCKS
48%
▲ Edge: +1.20% (ANA)
OILERS 57% Book Odds: -135
DUCKS 47% Book Odds: +114
Book Implied: 57.40% / 46.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 43%
Under 6.5 57%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
EDMONTON
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-1.5) 0 DucksANA (+1.5)
Edmonton Oilers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

78.8%

Ducks Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

18.9%

EDM By 2-3 goals

34.9%

ANA By 1 goal

8.6%

ANA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
2.2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
2
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Ducks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 7, 2026 EDM @ ANA 5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026 EDM @ ANA 2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026 ANA @ EDM 1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026 EDM @ ANA 4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026 ANA @ EDM 6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +35.8% more
Edmonton: 31.7 vs Anaheim: 20.3
Takeaways (L5) +14.1% more
Edmonton: 4.5 vs Anaheim: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5) +10.3%
Edmonton: 53.8% vs Anaheim: 43.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +47.1% more
Anaheim: 17.3 vs Edmonton: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.8 5
ANA Score 2.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.3 / 11.8 9.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 43.5 / 53.8 41.5 / 58.5
Hits 30.0 / 29.9 29.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 25.0 / 20.0 28.6 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 20.3 / 31.7 31.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 3.9 / 4.5 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -125 / +105 → -135 / +114 ↓
79%TICKETS21%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
45%TICKETS55%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
90%TICKETS10%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
EDM
ANA
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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