COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
2-1-0 | Road
2
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
3-0-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Stuart Skinner
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 3.04 | 0.842 | -- |
| Stuart Skinner | None-None | 2.00 | 0.941 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.04
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.842
Save %
Ldr 0.941
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
67%
JETS
33%
▲ Edge: +0.10% (COL)
AVALANCHE
66%
Book Odds: -198
JETS
38%
Book Odds: +164
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
34%
Under 6.5
66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
COL By 1 goal
19.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
WPG By 1 goal
9.2%
WPG By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Avalanche
Loss
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
A
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
COL @ WPG
2 - 3
Mar 28, 2026
WPG @ COL
4 - 2
Mar 26, 2026
COL @ WPG
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
COL @ WPG
1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
WPG @ COL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+21.9%
Colorado: 53.3%
vs
Winnipeg: 31.4%
Hits (L5)
+9.7% more
Colorado: 21.3
vs
Winnipeg: 19.3
Takeaways (L5)
+9.4% more
Colorado: 3.6
vs
Winnipeg: 3.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.5% more
Winnipeg: 16.9
vs
Colorado: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.5
2
WPG Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 15.0
12.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
45.2 / 42.8
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
19.3 / 21.3
20.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
3142.0 / 5333.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 31.3
19.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 3.6
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -185 / +154
→
-198 / +164
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
COL
WPG
COL
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points