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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

2-1-1  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Oct 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

1-1-1  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 4.00 0.800 --
Jakub Dobes None-None 5.24 0.848 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 Ldr GAA 5.24
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.848
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
61%
📊
CANADIENS
39%
▲ Edge: +4.70% (CAR)
HURRICANES 57% Book Odds: -130
CANADIENS 48% Book Odds: +110
Book Implied: 56.50% / 47.60%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 42%
Under 6.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+1.5)
Carolina Hurricanes (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

78.8%

Canadiens Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

18.9%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.9%

MTL By 1 goal

8.6%

MTL By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
2.2
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
2
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Hurricanes Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 CAR @ MTL 6 - 4
May 29, 2026 MTL @ CAR 1 - 6
May 27, 2026 CAR @ MTL 4 - 0
May 25, 2026 CAR @ MTL 3 - 2
May 23, 2026 MTL @ CAR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.0% more
Carolina: 15.1 vs Montreal: 11.3
Power Play % (L5) +20.4%
Carolina: 20.4% vs Montreal: 0.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.0% more
Carolina: 27.3 vs Montreal: 24.3
Hits (L5) +9.5% more
Carolina: 27.7 vs Montreal: 25.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.8 6
MTL Score 2.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.3 / 15.1 16.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 58.9 / 53.4 45.6 / 54.4
Hits 25.0 / 27.7 20.0 / 30.0
Power Play % 0.0 / 20.4 16.7 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 24.3 / 27.3 20.0 / 34.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 4.7 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -118 / -102 → -130 / +110 ↓
69%TICKETS31%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
41%TICKETS59%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
70%TICKETS30%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
CAR
MTL
CAR
ML
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-5
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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