Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Charleston So @ Clemson CHSO @ CLEM

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

CHARLESTON SOCHSO

3-4  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 12:00 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

CLEMSONCLEM

4-2  |  Home

37
Key Game
Baxter Pearce
KEY GAME

Baxter Pearce

#37 | Punter
@
Jack Smith
KEY GAME

Jack Smith

#89 | Punter
Player
Baxter Pearce None-None
Jack Smith None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLESTON SO
4%
📊
CLEMSON
96%
CHARLESTON SO --
CLEMSON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
59.0
Projected
Book Total
53.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 (Over)
Over 53.5 61%
Under 53.5 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+33.4
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
+42.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.1 points (Charleston Southern)
Charleston SoCHSO (+42.5) 0 ClemsonCLEM (-42.5)
Charleston Southern Buccaneers (+42.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Charleston So Cover

99.1%

Clemson Cover

0.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CHSO +33.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)

CHSO By 1-6 points

0.6%

CHSO By 7-13 points

0.2%

CLEM By 1-6 points

1.8%

CLEM By 7-13 points

5.0%

AI Model Projected Score
12.8
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 5.50
46.2
CLEMSON
Book Implied: 48
Simulated Score
13
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 5.50
35
CLEMSON
Book Implied: 48
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Clemson Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Clemson Win
99% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Charleston So (+42.5) Win
Proj Spread: +33.4
A
Sim Charleston So (+42.5) Win
Proj Spread: +22.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 59.0
B
Sim u53.5 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 CHSO @ CLEM 0 - 37
Sep 9, 2023 CHSO @ CLEM 17 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +192.5% more
Clemson: 135.2 vs Charleston Southern: 46.2
Total Yards (L5) +173.8% more
Clemson: 346.9 vs Charleston Southern: 126.7
First Downs (L5) +138.3% more
Clemson: 20.8 vs Charleston Southern: 8.7
Turnovers (L5) +26.1% more
Clemson: 1.7 vs Charleston Southern: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 12.8 0
CLEM Score 46.2 37
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.8 / 8.7 28.0 / 6.0
Rushing Yards 135.2 / 46.2 231.0 / 26.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.43 / 0.0
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 346.9 / 126.7 438.0 / 76.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.4 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +43.5 / -43.5 → +42.5 / -42.5 ↓
44%TICKETS56%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: 58.5 → 53.5 ↓
57%TICKETS43%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
--
CLEM Advantage
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
--
CLEM Advantage
3-5-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
--
CLEM
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
CHSO
CLEM
CHSO
ML
62% 5-3
100% 3-0
75% 6-2
100% 3-0
ATS
50% 4-4
67% 2-1
50% 4-4
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 4-4
0% 0-3
62% 5-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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