OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
2-0-0 | Road
4
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-2-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 4.00 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
4.00
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
37%
BRUINS
63%
▲ Edge: +13.30% (BOS)
SENATORS
53%
Book Odds: -114
BRUINS
49%
Book Odds: +103
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5
50%
Under 5.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
OTT By 1 goal
9.2%
OTT By 2-3 goals
6.1%
BOS By 1 goal
19.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Boston
3.5
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Boston
4
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Bruins
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim
Bruins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
OTT @ BOS
4 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
OTT @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 13, 2025
BOS @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 6, 2025
OTT @ BOS
2 - 3
Oct 27, 2025
BOS @ OTT
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+48.4% more
Boston: 5.0
vs
Ottawa: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.3% more
Ottawa: 20.0
vs
Boston: 14.3
Hits (L5)
+20.9% more
Ottawa: 35.3
vs
Boston: 27.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.7% more
Ottawa: 29.0
vs
Boston: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.0
4
BOS Score
3.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 20.0
11.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 56.9
51.6 / 48.4
Hits
27.9 / 35.3
34.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
0.0 / 4.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.9 / 29.0
19.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 3.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +100 / -120
→
-114 / +103
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
OTT
BOS
OTT
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
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