WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
1-0-1 | Road
3
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
0-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Stuart Skinner
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | None-None | 2.00 | 0.943 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 3.15 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.15
0.943 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
59%
RED WINGS
41%
▲ Edge: +5.20% (WPG)
JETS
54%
Book Odds: -118
RED WINGS
51%
Book Odds: -102
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
59%
Under 5.5
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
18.9%
WPG By 2-3 goals
34.9%
DET By 1 goal
8.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.8
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.50
Detroit
2.2
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.50
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
WPG @ DET
3 - 2
Jan 24, 2026
DET @ WPG
5 - 1
Dec 31, 2025
WPG @ DET
1 - 2
Jan 4, 2025
DET @ WPG
4 - 2
Oct 30, 2024
WPG @ DET
6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+39.9% more
Winnipeg: 20.0
vs
Detroit: 12.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+33.2% more
Winnipeg: 33.0
vs
Detroit: 22.0
Power Play % (L5)
+33.0%
Winnipeg: 33.2%
vs
Detroit: 0.2%
Hits (L5)
+33.1% more
Detroit: 21.4
vs
Winnipeg: 16.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.8
3
DET Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 20.0
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 48.4
61.1 / 38.9
Hits
21.4 / 16.1
25.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
0.2 / 33.2
20.0 / 75.0
Shots on Goal
22.0 / 33.0
35.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.1
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +105 / -125
→
-118 / -102
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WPG
DET
WPG
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets