BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-1-0 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
2-0-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Michael DiPietro
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DiPietro | None-None | 3.11 | 0.897 | -- |
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.11
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.897
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
49%
WILD
51%
▲ Edge: +13% (BOS)
BRUINS
36%
Book Odds: +180
WILD
69%
Book Odds: -218
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
43%
Under 6.5
57%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1 goal
9.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
6.1%
MIN By 1 goal
19.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2.50
Minnesota
3.5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2.50
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Bruins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
BOS @ MIN
1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026
MIN @ BOS
3 - 6
Dec 14, 2025
BOS @ MIN
2 - 6
Mar 2, 2025
BOS @ MIN
0 - 1
Feb 4, 2025
MIN @ BOS
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+25.0%
Minnesota: 25.0%
vs
Boston: 0.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.4% more
Minnesota: 30.0
vs
Boston: 25.3
Takeaways (L5)
+39.7% more
Boston: 5.5
vs
Minnesota: 3.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.7% more
Boston: 15.0
vs
Minnesota: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.0
1
MIN Score
3.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.0 / 15.0
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 50.6
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
27.6 / 33.9
14.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
25.0 / 0.0
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 25.3
30.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 5.5
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +145 / +154
→
+180 / -218
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
BOS
MIN
BOS
ML
41%
39-56
52%
47-44
48%
46-49
58%
53-38
ATS
61%
58-37
71%
65-26
48%
46-49
58%
53-38
TTL
46%
41-49-5
59%
52-36-3
99%
94-1
96%
87-4
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