Home / NHL Projections NHL / Devils @ Islanders NJ @ NYI

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

1-1-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 3 • 7:30 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

1-1-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Nico Daws
GOALTENDER

Nico Daws

#50 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nico Daws None-None 6.01 0.813 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.01 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.813 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
63%
📊
ISLANDERS
37%
▲ Edge: +5.60% (NJ)
DEVILS 57% Book Odds: -134
ISLANDERS 45% Book Odds: +121
Book Implied: 57.30% / 45.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 49%
Under 6.0 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New Jersey)
DevilsNJ (-1.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+1.5)
New Jersey Devils (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

78.8%

Islanders Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

NJ By 1 goal

18.9%

NJ By 2-3 goals

34.9%

NYI By 1 goal

8.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.80
2.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
4
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.80
2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Devils Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Devils Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Devils (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim o6.0 Push
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 NJ @ NYI 0 - 6
Feb 5, 2026 NYI @ NJ 3 - 1
Jan 6, 2026 NJ @ NYI 0 - 9
Dec 23, 2025 NJ @ NYI 1 - 2
Nov 10, 2025 NYI @ NJ 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +38.6% more
New Jersey: 44.0 vs New York: 27.0
Takeaways (L5) +14.3% more
New Jersey: 4.5 vs New York: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5) +10.0%
New Jersey: 50.0% vs New York: 40.0%
Hits (L5) +41.1% more
New York: 19.7 vs New Jersey: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 3.8 0
NYI Score 2.2 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.0 / 10.0 14.0 / 8.0
Faceoff % 40.0 / 50.0 57.1 / 42.9
Hits 19.7 / 14.0 25.0 / 15.0
Power Play % 0.0 / 0.0 33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.0 / 44.0 32.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 3.9 / 4.5 9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +100 / -120 → -134 / +121 ↓
62%TICKETS38%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
19%TICKETS81%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
85%TICKETS15%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NJ
NYI
NJ
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-2-1
100% 2-0-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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