CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
1-1-1 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-1-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joseph Woll
#53 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.91 | 0.889 | -- |
| Joseph Woll | None-None | 2.87 | 0.925 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.91 Ldr
GAA
2.87
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.925
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
55%
FLYERS
45%
HURRICANES
56%
Book Odds: -129
FLYERS
46%
Book Odds: +117
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.0
58%
Under 6.0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CAR By 1 goal
19.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
34.1%
PHI By 1 goal
9.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.80
Philadelphia
2.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.80
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 9, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 7, 2026
CAR @ PHI
4 - 1
May 4, 2026
PHI @ CAR
2 - 3
May 2, 2026
PHI @ CAR
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+17.6% more
Carolina: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 4.2
Power Play % (L5)
+5.6%
Carolina: 5.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 0.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
Philadelphia: 58.1%
vs
Carolina: 54.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
4.0
3
PHI Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 15.7
17.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
58.1 / 54.7
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
32.6 / 35.0
29.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
0.0 / 5.6
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
21.0 / 21.0
18.0 / 40.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.1
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -130 / +110
→
-129 / +117
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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