BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-0-0 | Road
4
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
0-0-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Stuart Skinner
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.88 | 0.909 | -- |
| Stuart Skinner | None-None | 3.79 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.88 Ldr
GAA
3.79
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
45%
JETS
55%
BRUINS
50%
Book Odds: +102
JETS
55%
Book Odds: -122
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5
49%
Under 5.5
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1 goal
9.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
6.1%
WPG By 1 goal
19.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
Winnipeg
3.5
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
BOS @ WPG
4 - 3
Mar 19, 2026
WPG @ BOS
1 - 6
Dec 11, 2025
BOS @ WPG
6 - 3
Jan 30, 2025
WPG @ BOS
6 - 2
Dec 10, 2024
BOS @ WPG
1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+87.0%
Winnipeg: 87.0%
vs
Boston: 0.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+15.1%
Winnipeg: 65.1%
vs
Boston: 50.0%
Hits (L5)
+58.6% more
Boston: 37.8
vs
Winnipeg: 15.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.7% more
Boston: 23.0
vs
Winnipeg: 16.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.0
4
WPG Score
3.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 16.0
20.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
65.1 / 50.0
48.3 / 51.7
Hits
15.7 / 37.8
17.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
0.9 / 0.0
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
16.6 / 23.0
33.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.3
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -115 / -110
→
+102 / -122
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
BOS
WPG
BOS
ML
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
TTL
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
