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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

1-0-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Oct 1 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

1-0-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Akira Schmid
GOALTENDER

Akira Schmid

#40 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Akira Schmid None-None 3.80 0.875 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 2.85 0.885 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.80 GAA Ldr 2.85
0.875 Save % Ldr 0.885
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
74%
📊
SHARKS
26%
▲ Edge: +14.40% (FLA)
PANTHERS 60% Book Odds: -148
SHARKS 43% Book Odds: +134
Book Implied: 59.70% / 42.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 42%
Under 6.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
FLORIDA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-1.5) 0 SharksSJ (+1.5)
Florida Panthers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

78.8%

Sharks Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

18.9%

FLA By 2-3 goals

34.9%

SJ By 1 goal

8.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4
2.2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4
2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Panthers Loss
74% Win Prob
A
Sim Panthers Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 FLA @ SJ 3 - 4
Jan 19, 2026 SJ @ FLA 4 - 1
Nov 8, 2025 FLA @ SJ 1 - 3
Jan 25, 2025 FLA @ SJ 7 - 2
Dec 7, 2024 SJ @ FLA 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +19.7% more
Florida: 28.5 vs San Jose: 22.9
Takeaways (L5) +83.7% more
San Jose: 5.9 vs Florida: 3.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +45.0% more
San Jose: 18.8 vs Florida: 13.0
Power Play % (L5) +42.0%
San Jose: 43.0% vs Florida: 1.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.8 3
SJ Score 2.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.8 / 13.0 21.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 40.9 / 41.5 42.6 / 57.4
Hits 22.9 / 28.5 24.0 / 41.0
Power Play % 0.4 / 0.0 25.0 / 16.7
Shots on Goal 23.1 / 20.0 32.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 5.9 / 3.2 9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -135 / -142 → -148 / +134 ↓
81%TICKETS19%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
40%TICKETS60%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
89%TICKETS11%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
FLA
SJ
FLA
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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