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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-1-1  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Oct 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

1-0-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Joseph Woll
GOALTENDER

Joseph Woll

#53 | Goaltender
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joseph Woll None-None 2.87 0.932 --
Jake Allen None-None 1.89 0.920 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.87 GAA Ldr 1.89
0.932 Ldr Save % 0.920
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
33%
📊
DEVILS
67%
▲ Edge: +2.60% (NJ)
FLYERS 40% Book Odds: +150
DEVILS 64% Book Odds: -180
Book Implied: 40% / 64.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 59%
Under 5.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New Jersey)
FlyersPHI (+1.5) 0 DevilsNJ (-1.5)
New Jersey Devils (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

21.2%

Devils Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

PHI By 1 goal

8.6%

PHI By 2-3 goals

5.5%

NJ By 1 goal

18.9%

NJ By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
3.8
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
4
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Devils Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim Devils Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Devils (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 PHI @ NJ 2 - 3
Apr 7, 2026 PHI @ NJ 5 - 1
Nov 29, 2025 PHI @ NJ 5 - 3
Nov 22, 2025 NJ @ PHI 3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025 NJ @ PHI 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +76.9% more
New Jersey: 33.6 vs Philadelphia: 19.0
Power Play % (L5) +40.0%
New Jersey: 40.0% vs Philadelphia: 0.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.1% more
New Jersey: 9.2 vs Philadelphia: 8.0
Hits (L5) +67.5% more
Philadelphia: 36.8 vs New Jersey: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.2 2
NJ Score 3.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.2 / 8.0 10.0 / 32.0
Faceoff % 47.7 / 62.1 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 12.0 / 36.8 18.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 40.0 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 33.6 / 19.0 44.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 3.3 / 4.8 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -142 / +120 → +150 / -180 ↑
13%TICKETS87%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
55%TICKETS45%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
66%TICKETS34%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
PHI
NJ
PHI
ML
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
ATS
0% 0-3
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
TTL
0% 0-2-1
20% 1-4
50% 1-1-1
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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