FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
1-0-0 | Road
1
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
0-0-1 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jacob Markstrom
#25 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 0.92 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
0.92
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.950
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
42%
HURRICANES
58%
▲ Edge: +1.30% (CAR)
PANTHERS
48%
Book Odds: +110
HURRICANES
57%
Book Odds: -130
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 6.5
67%
Under 6.5
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
9.2%
FLA By 2-3 goals
6.1%
CAR By 1 goal
19.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 2.50
Carolina
4.5
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 2.50
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Panthers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.5
A
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+120.4% more
Carolina: 7.2
vs
Florida: 3.3
Hits (L5)
+60.8% more
Carolina: 34.2
vs
Florida: 21.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.2% more
Carolina: 31.3
vs
Florida: 25.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.8% more
Carolina: 10.9
vs
Florida: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.0
1
CAR Score
4.5
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.9 / 9.1
19.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
53.1 / 56.9
58.6 / 41.4
Hits
34.2 / 21.3
41.0 / 43.0
Power Play %
2046.0 / 197.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 25.4
15.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
7.2 / 3.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +114 / -135
→
+110 / -130
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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