Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Tulane @ Army TULN @ ARMY

TULANE

TULANETULN

2-3  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sat, Oct 10 • 12:00 PM ET
Michie Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARMY

ARMYARMY

3-2  |  Home

20
Key Game
William Hudlow
KEY GAME

William Hudlow

#34 | Punter
@
Dawson Jones
KEY GAME

Dawson Jones

#95 | Place kicker
Player
William Hudlow None-None
Dawson Jones None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TULANE
66%
📊
ARMY
34%
▲ Edge: +29.10% (TULN)
TULANE 37% Book Odds: +170
ARMY 67% Book Odds: -205
Book Implied: 37% / 67.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.6
Projected
Book Total
48.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 (Over)
Over 48.5 50%
Under 48.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TULANE
Book Spread
+5.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.5 points (Tulane)
TulaneTULN (+5.5) 0 ArmyARMY (-5.5)
Tulane Green Wave (+5.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tulane Cover

69.1%

Army Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TULN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

TULN By 1-6 points

16.5%

TULN By 7-13 points

19.3%

ARMY By 1-6 points

12.9%

ARMY By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
27.8
TULANE
Book Implied: 21.50
20.8
ARMY
Book Implied: 27
Simulated Score
18
TULANE
Book Implied: 21.50
33
ARMY
Book Implied: 27
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tulane Loss
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Army Win
93% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tulane (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Sim Army (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.6
D
Sim o48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 10, 2026 TULN @ ARMY 17 - 20
Oct 18, 2025 ARMY @ TULN 17 - 24
Dec 6, 2024 TULN @ ARMY 14 - 35
Nov 14, 2020 ARMY @ TULN 12 - 38
Oct 5, 2019 TULN @ ARMY 42 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +15.0% more
Tulane: 0.8 vs Army: 0.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +60.4% more
Army: 291.0 vs Tulane: 181.4
First Downs (L5) +28.7% more
Army: 23.0 vs Tulane: 17.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
Army: 0.5 vs Tulane: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 27.8 17
ARMY Score 20.8 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.0 / 17.8 19.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards 291.0 / 181.4 329.0 / 122.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.53 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.59 / 0.41
Total Yards 392.7 / 375.1 348.0 / 280.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +205 / -250 → +170 / -205 ↓
16%TICKETS84%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +6.5 / -6.5 → +5.5 / -5.5 ↓
52%TICKETS48%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: 45.5 → 48.5 ↑
46%TICKETS54%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
ARMY Advantage
5-2-0 (71.4%)
Margin: 13.1 ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
ARMY Advantage
3-3-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 13.1 ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
3-4-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -4.6
ARMY
5-2-0
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
TULN
ARMY
TULN
ML
86% 6-1
71% 5-2
86% 6-1
57% 4-3
ATS
86% 6-1
71% 5-2
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
TTL
29% 2-5
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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