Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Villarreal vs Levante Villarreal vs Levante

VILLARREALVILLARREAL

0-2-1  |  Home

3
FINAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 12:30 PM ET
Estadio de la Cerámica

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-1-1  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
VILLARREAL
61%
DRAW
21%
LEVANTE
18%
▲ Edge: +12.20% (Levante)
64% Book Odds: -180
DRAW --
18% Book Odds: +450
Book Implied: 64.30% / % / 18.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
3.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 3.5 32%
Under 3.5 68%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+1.0
LEVANTE
Book Goal Line
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Levante)
VillarrealVillarreal (-1.5) 0 LevanteLevante (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

62.2% / 37.8%

Shots (On Goal)

21(7) / 6(1)

Corners

7 / 1

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Levante +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Levante)

Villarreal By 1 goal

26.1%

Villarreal By 2+ goals

36.9%

Levante By 1 goal

11.1%

Levante By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
VILLARREAL
Book Implied: 2.50
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
3
VILLARREAL
Book Implied: 2.50
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Villarreal Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Villarreal Win
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Levante (+1) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Sim Villarreal (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u3.0 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
A
Sim u3.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 Villarreal vs Levante 3 - 1
Feb 18, 2026 Levante vs Villarreal 0 - 1
Apr 2, 2022 Levante vs Villarreal 2 - 0
Jan 3, 2022 Villarreal vs Levante 5 - 0
Apr 18, 2021 Levante vs Villarreal 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +14.3% more
Villarreal: 8.0 vs Levante: 7.0
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Levante: 2.0 vs Villarreal: 0.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Levante: 2.0 vs Villarreal: 4.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +11.1% more
Levante: 9.0 vs Villarreal: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Levante Score 1.0 1
Villarreal Score 2.0 3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Villarreal (Home) vs Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Villarreal Share: 66.7% Levante Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Levante
ML
43% 3-4
83% 5-1
29% 2-5
50% 3-3
ATS
86% 6-1
83% 5-1
29% 2-5
33% 2-4
TTL
57% 4-3
50% 3-3
43% 3-4
50% 3-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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