Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Deportivo vs Betis Deportivo vs Betis

DEPORTIVODEPORTIVO

2-4-2  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 12:30 PM ET
Riazor

BETISBETIS

6-1-1  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
DEPORTIVO
35%
DRAW
31%
BETIS
35%
▲ Edge: +24% (Deportivo)
26% Book Odds: +285
DRAW --
52% Book Odds: -110
Book Implied: 26% / % / 52.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 41%
Under 2.5 59%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
DEPORTIVO
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Deportivo)
DeportivoDeportivo (+0.5) 0 BetisBetis (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

42.9% / 57.1%

Shots (On Goal)

24(7) / 11(4)

Corners

11 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Deportivo 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Deportivo)

Deportivo By 1 goal

21.1%

Deportivo By 2+ goals

15.9%

Real Betis By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 1
1
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
1
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 1
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
36% Win Prob
B
Sim Real Betis Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Deportivo (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Real Betis (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.75 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 Deportivo vs Betis 1 - 1
Feb 12, 2018 Deportivo vs Betis 0 - 1
Sep 16, 2017 Betis vs Deportivo 2 - 1
Mar 8, 2017 Deportivo vs Betis 1 - 1
Aug 26, 2016 Betis vs Deportivo 0 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Betis: 4.0 vs Deportivo: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +12.5% more
Betis: 9.0 vs Deportivo: 8.0
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Deportivo: 2.0 vs Betis: 0.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +33.3% more
Deportivo: 6.0 vs Betis: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Real Betis Score 1.0 1
Deportivo Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Deportivo (Home) vs Real Betis (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Deportivo Share: 50.0% Real Betis Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Deportivo
Real Betis
Deportivo
Real Betis
ML
62% 5-3
50% 4-4
12% 1-7
25% 2-6
ATS
88% 7-1
50% 4-4
12% 1-7
38% 3-5
TTL
50% 4-4
75% 6-2
50% 4-4
38% 3-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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