COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
58-103 | Road
9
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
83-78 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Quintana
#62 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | 2-3 | 5.40 | 1.51 | 45.0 | 22 |
| Davis Martin | 9-7 | 3.84 | 1.29 | 145.1 | 121 |
2-3
W-L
9-7
5.40
ERA
Ldr 3.84
1.51
WHIP
Ldr 1.29
45.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 145.1
22
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 121
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
34%
WHITE SOX
66%
▲ Edge: +1.40% (COL)
ROCKIES
33%
Book Odds: +203
WHITE SOX
72%
Book Odds: -252
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 8.0
60%
Under 8.0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
COL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 3.20
Chicago
5.5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 3.20
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Loss
66% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
COL @ CHW
2 - 4
Sep 26, 2026
COL @ CHW
9 - 6
Sep 25, 2026
COL @ CHW
1 - 6
Jul 6, 2025
CHW @ COL
4 - 6
Jul 5, 2025
CHW @ COL
10 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
.739
OPS
▲
.826
180
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+67.2% more
Chicago: 3.0
vs
Colorado: 1.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+29.3% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Hits (L5)
+23.2% more
Chicago: 10.0
vs
Colorado: 8.2
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.3%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.5
9
CHW Score
5.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.0 / 8.2
8.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.4
3.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 9.0
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 14.5
18.0 / 22.0
Walks
3.0 / 1.8
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +187 / -230
→
+203 / -252
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
8
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-81-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
97-70-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
COL
CHW
COL
ML
49%
82-87
60%
97-64
56%
94-75
55%
88-73
ATS
59%
100-69
60%
97-64
55%
93-76
52%
83-78
TTL
58%
97-70-2
60%
93-62-6
51%
85-82-2
50%
77-78-6
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