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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

1-1-1  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, Sep 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

1-2-0  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
35%
📊
BLUES
65%
▲ Edge: +11.80% (STL)
BLACKHAWKS 51% Book Odds: -105
BLUES 54% Book Odds: -115
Book Implied: 51.20% / 53.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 59%
Under 5.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
BlackhawksCHI (+1.5) 0 BluesSTL (-1.5)
St. Louis Blues (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

21.2%

Blues Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

CHI By 1 goal

8.6%

CHI By 2-3 goals

5.5%

STL By 1 goal

18.9%

STL By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
3.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
4
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim Blues Win
69% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
C
Sim Blackhawks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 26, 2026 STL @ CHI 2 - 3
Sep 24, 2026 CHI @ STL 0 - 1
Apr 11, 2026 STL @ CHI 5 - 3
Jan 7, 2026 STL @ CHI 3 - 7
Dec 12, 2025 CHI @ STL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +52.1% more
St. Louis: 26.4 vs Chicago: 17.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.8% more
Chicago: 13.0 vs St. Louis: 9.7
Faceoff % (L5) +12.1%
Chicago: 58.0% vs St. Louis: 45.9%
Takeaways (L5) +11.4% more
Chicago: 4.6 vs St. Louis: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 2.2 0
STL Score 3.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.7 / 13.0 7.0 / 8.0
Faceoff % 45.9 / 58.0 51.2 / 48.8
Hits 21.5 / 22.1 26.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 1.0 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.4 / 17.3 36.0 / 17.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 4.6 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -105 / -115 → -105 / -115
32%TICKETS68%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
94%TICKETS6%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
19%TICKETS81%
23%MONEY77%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CHI
STL
CHI
ML
55% 46-38
63% 53-31
55% 47-38
48% 40-44
ATS
63% 53-31
64% 54-30
56% 48-37
46% 39-45
TTL
62% 51-31-2
49% 40-41-3
95% 81-4
96% 81-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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