UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
1-1-0 | Road
6
LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
0-2-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
35%
KINGS
65%
▲ Edge: +13.20% (LA)
MAMMOTH
53%
Book Odds: -112
KINGS
52%
Book Odds: -108
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 5.5
67%
Under 5.5
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)
UTA By 1 goal
9.2%
UTA By 2-3 goals
6.1%
LA By 1 goal
19.1%
LA By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
2.5
UTAH
Book Implied: 3.50
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
Utah
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 3.50
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mammoth
Win
70% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim
Kings (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 22, 2026
UTA @ LA
6 - 3
Mar 28, 2026
UTA @ LA
6 - 2
Mar 22, 2026
LA @ UTA
3 - 4
Dec 8, 2025
LA @ UTA
4 - 2
Apr 3, 2025
LA @ UTA
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+99.9% more
Utah: 16.0
vs
Los Angeles: 0.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+69.3%
Utah: 69.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 0.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+35.6% more
Utah: 4.6
vs
Los Angeles: 3.0
Hits (L5)
+21.6% more
Utah: 30.8
vs
Los Angeles: 24.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
2.5
6
LA Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
0.0 / 16.0
14.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
0.1 / 69.3
42.9 / 57.1
Hits
24.2 / 30.8
24.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
0.1 / 0.1
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
19.0 / 24.0
22.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 4.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -112 / -108
→
-112 / -108
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
UTA
LA
UTA
ML
52%
46-42
54%
47-40
45%
40-48
49%
43-44
ATS
65%
57-31
60%
52-35
44%
39-49
49%
43-44
TTL
66%
57-30-1
47%
39-44-4
100%
88-0
100%
87-0
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