MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
1-0-1 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
1-0-1 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
62%
BLACKHAWKS
38%
▲ Edge: +28.80% (MIN)
WILD
33%
Book Odds: +200
BLACKHAWKS
71%
Book Odds: -245
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
59%
Under 5.5
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
18.9%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.9%
CHI By 1 goal
8.6%
CHI By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.8
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2
Chicago
2.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
69% Win Prob
D
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 21, 2026
MIN @ CHI
3 - 4
Sep 19, 2026
CHI @ MIN
2 - 3
Mar 19, 2026
CHI @ MIN
2 - 1
Mar 17, 2026
MIN @ CHI
4 - 3
Jan 27, 2026
CHI @ MIN
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+38.5% more
Minnesota: 26.0
vs
Chicago: 16.0
Hits (L5)
+30.8% more
Minnesota: 30.6
vs
Chicago: 21.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.5% more
Minnesota: 16.0
vs
Chicago: 14.0
Takeaways (L5)
+48.5% more
Chicago: 5.5
vs
Minnesota: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.8
3
CHI Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 16.0
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
61.4 / 38.6
51.1 / 48.9
Hits
21.2 / 30.6
24.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
0.0 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
16.0 / 26.0
20.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 3.7
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +200 / -245
→
+200 / -245
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIN
CHI
MIN
ML
63%
53-31
41%
39-56
48%
40-44
51%
48-47
ATS
64%
54-30
62%
59-36
46%
39-45
48%
46-49
TTL
49%
40-41-3
43%
39-51-5
96%
81-3
98%
93-2
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