COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
1-1-0 | Road
1
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
1-1-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
66%
JETS
34%
▲ Edge: +33.30% (COL)
AVALANCHE
33%
Book Odds: +205
JETS
71%
Book Odds: -250
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 5.5
67%
Under 5.5
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
WPG By 1 goal
9.2%
WPG By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 2
Winnipeg
2.5
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Book Implied: 2
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Avalanche
Loss
66% Win Prob
B
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
B
Sim
Avalanche (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
A
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 25, 2026
WPG @ COL
2 - 5
Sep 21, 2026
COL @ WPG
1 - 3
Mar 28, 2026
WPG @ COL
4 - 2
Mar 26, 2026
COL @ WPG
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
COL @ WPG
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+39.6% more
Colorado: 23.3
vs
Winnipeg: 14.1
Takeaways (L5)
+23.9% more
Colorado: 4.1
vs
Winnipeg: 3.1
Power Play % (L5)
+20.0%
Colorado: 20.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 0.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+533.0% more
Winnipeg: 19.0
vs
Colorado: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.0
1
WPG Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 3.0
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
44.5 / 30.6
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
14.1 / 23.3
29.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
0.0 / 2000.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.0 / 17.0
19.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 4.1
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +205 / -250
→
+205 / -250
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
COL
WPG
COL
ML
49%
42-43
58%
55-40
53%
45-40
46%
44-51
ATS
56%
48-37
64%
61-34
53%
45-40
46%
44-51
TTL
59%
49-34-2
52%
47-43-5
99%
84-1
99%
94-1
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