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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

0-0-1  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

1-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
30%
📊
WILD
70%
▲ Edge: +10.20% (MIN)
BLACKHAWKS 45% Book Odds: +124
WILD 60% Book Odds: -148
Book Implied: 44.60% / 59.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 58%
Under 5.5 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Minnesota)
BlackhawksCHI (+1.5) 0 WildMIN (-1.5)
Minnesota Wild (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

21.2%

Wild Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

CHI By 1 goal

8.6%

CHI By 2-3 goals

5.5%

MIN By 1 goal

18.9%

MIN By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
3.8
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
4
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Wild Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Wild Win
84% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
C
Sim Wild (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 21, 2026 MIN @ CHI 3 - 4
Sep 19, 2026 CHI @ MIN 2 - 3
Mar 19, 2026 CHI @ MIN 2 - 1
Mar 17, 2026 MIN @ CHI 4 - 3
Jan 27, 2026 CHI @ MIN 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +178.4% more
Minnesota: 31.4 vs Chicago: 11.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +77.7% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Chicago: 21.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +10.0% more
Minnesota: 13.1 vs Chicago: 11.9
Takeaways (L5) +8.7% more
Minnesota: 4.0 vs Chicago: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 2.2 2
MIN Score 3.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.1 / 11.9 16.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 47.2 / 43.2 38.6 / 61.4
Hits 31.4 / 11.3 29.0 / 41.0
Power Play % 215.0 / 582.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 37.7 / 21.2 26.0 / 16.0
Takeaways 4.0 / 3.7 3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +124 / -148 → +124 / -148
16%TICKETS84%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
0%TICKETS100%
0%MONEY100%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
79%TICKETS21%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHI
MIN
CHI
ML
41% 39-56
63% 53-31
51% 48-47
48% 40-44
ATS
62% 59-36
64% 54-30
48% 46-49
46% 39-45
TTL
43% 39-51-5
49% 40-41-3
98% 93-2
96% 81-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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