LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
62-98 | Road
7
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
74-86 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryce Miller
#50 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 6-8 | 3.47 | 1.05 | 179.0 | 204 |
| Bryce Miller | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.15 | 112.2 | 112 |
6-8
W-L
4-9
3.47 Ldr
ERA
3.99
1.05 Ldr
WHIP
1.15
179.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
112.2
204 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
112
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
42%
MARINERS
58%
▲ Edge: +4.70% (SEA)
ANGELS
51%
Book Odds: -104
MARINERS
54%
Book Odds: -116
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 6.5
69%
Under 6.5
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
15.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
9.2%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mariners
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Angels (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
A
Sim
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
LAA @ SEA
3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026
LAA @ SEA
4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026
LAA @ SEA
7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026
LAA @ SEA
6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026
SEA @ LAA
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.10
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.379
.679
OPS
▲
.693
154
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+21.0% more
Seattle: 0.8
vs
Los Angeles: 0.6
Home Runs (Season)
+18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+1.5% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+1.4%
Seattle: 69.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.5
7
SEA Score
5.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.1 / 8.8
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.8 / 10.7
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 12.1
12.0 / 21.0
Walks
4.9 / 4.5
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +163 / -200
→
-104 / -116
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 7
→
6.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50%
81-81
59%
96-66
52%
85-77
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
98-64
60%
97-65
59%
95-67
51%
82-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
83-74-5
53%
81-71-10
52%
82-75-5
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …