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CELTA VIGOCELTA VIGO

1-5-2  |  Home

5
FINAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 12:30 PM ET
Balaidos

RACINGRACING

2-2-4  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
CELTA VIGO
61%
DRAW
21%
RACING
18%
▲ Edge: +30.30% (Racing Santander)
55% Book Odds: -120
DRAW --
24% Book Odds: +320
Book Implied: 54.50% / % / 23.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 50%
Under 2.5 50%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
CELTA VIGO
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Celta Vigo)
Celta VigoCelta Vigo (-0.5) 0 RacingRacing (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

41.2% / 58.8%

Shots (On Goal)

13(9) / 11(5)

Corners

3 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 5/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Celta Vigo -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Celta Vigo)

Celta Vigo By 1 goal

26.1%

Celta Vigo By 2+ goals

36.9%

Racing Santander By 1 goal

11.1%

Racing Santander By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 1.50
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 1.50
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celta Vigo Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim Celta Vigo Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celta Vigo (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Celta Vigo (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim o2.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 19, 2026 Celta Vigo vs Racing 5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +300.0% more
Celta Vigo: 3.0 vs Racing: 0.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +180.0% more
Celta Vigo: 5.0 vs Racing: 14.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Celta Vigo: 2.0 vs Racing: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5) +350.0% more
Racing: 9.0 vs Celta Vigo: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Racing Santander Score 1.0 0
Celta Vigo Score 2.0 5
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Celta Vigo (Home) vs Racing Santander (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Celta Vigo Share: 66.7% Racing Santander Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Celta Vigo
Racing Santander
Celta Vigo
Racing Santander
ML
50% 4-4
38% 3-5
12% 1-7
62% 5-3
ATS
27% 2-5
38% 3-5
25% 2-6
75% 6-2
TTL
62% 5-3
38% 3-5
50% 4-4
47% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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