LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
61-98 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
74-85 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grayson Rodriguez
#21 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Woo
#22 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez | 4-8 | 5.96 | 1.54 | 93.2 | 83 |
| Bryan Woo | 12-9 | 3.92 | 1.08 | 167.2 | 167 |
4-8
W-L
12-9
5.96
ERA
Ldr 3.92
1.54
WHIP
Ldr 1.08
93.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 167.2
83
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 167
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
29%
MARINERS
71%
▲ Edge: +4.60% (SEA)
ANGELS
38%
Book Odds: +163
MARINERS
66%
Book Odds: -198
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.0
70%
Under 7.0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
13.6%
LAA By 3-4 runs
7.8%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.80
Seattle
5.5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.80
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
71% Win Prob
A
Sim
Mariners
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
LAA @ SEA
3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026
LAA @ SEA
4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026
LAA @ SEA
7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026
LAA @ SEA
6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026
SEA @ LAA
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.10
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.379
.679
OPS
▲
.693
154
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+26.9% more
Seattle: 4.8
vs
Los Angeles: 3.8
Home Runs (Season)
+18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+1.5% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+1.4%
Seattle: 69.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.5
6
SEA Score
5.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 8.7
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 9.5
5.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
9.7 / 12.7
11.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.8 / 3.8
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +169 / -207
→
+163 / -198
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7
→
7
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50%
81-81
59%
96-66
52%
85-77
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
98-64
60%
97-65
59%
95-67
51%
82-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
83-74-5
53%
81-71-10
52%
82-75-5
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