Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Betis vs Getafe Betis vs Getafe

BETISBETIS

2-0-1  |  Home

1
FINAL
Thu, Sep 17 • 1:00 PM ET
Estadio Benito Villamarín

GETAFEGETAFE

1-0-2  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
BETIS
61%
DRAW
21%
GETAFE
18%
▲ Edge: +24.10% (Getafe)
67% Book Odds: -200
DRAW --
14% Book Odds: +600
Book Implied: 66.70% / % / 14.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 53%
Under 2.5 47%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+1.0
GETAFE
Book Goal Line
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Getafe)
BetisBetis (-1.5) 0 GetafeGetafe (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

75.0% / 25.0%

Shots (On Goal)

22(8) / 8(2)

Corners

4 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 3/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Getafe +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Getafe)

Real Betis By 1 goal

26.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

36.9%

Getafe By 1 goal

11.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 2
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 0.50
Simulated Score
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 2
0
GETAFE
Book Implied: 0.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Real Betis Win
62% Win Prob
A
Sim Real Betis Win
80% Win Prob
B
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Getafe (+1) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Sim Real Betis (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 17, 2026 Betis vs Getafe 1 - 0
Mar 8, 2026 Getafe vs Betis 2 - 0
Dec 21, 2025 Betis vs Getafe 4 - 0
Feb 23, 2025 Getafe vs Betis 1 - 2
Sep 18, 2024 Betis vs Getafe 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
Betis: 4.0 vs Getafe: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +125.0% more
Betis: 9.0 vs Getafe: 4.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Betis: 1.0 vs Getafe: 2.0
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Getafe: 2.0 vs Betis: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Getafe Score 1.0 0
Real Betis Score 2.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Real Betis (Home) vs Getafe (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Real Betis Share: 66.7% Getafe Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Betis
Getafe
Real Betis
Getafe
ML
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
14% 1-6
71% 5-2
ATS
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
29% 2-5
57% 4-3
TTL
71% 5-2
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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