LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
60-98 | Road
3
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
63-95 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Walbert Urena
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walbert Urena | 9-10 | 2.74 | 1.21 | 144.1 | 140 |
| Jeffrey Springs | 4-14 | 6.18 | 1.47 | 138.1 | 109 |
9-10
W-L
4-14
2.74 Ldr
ERA
6.18
1.21 Ldr
WHIP
1.47
144.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
138.1
140 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
109
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
62%
ATHLETICS
38%
▲ Edge: +4.60% (LAA)
ANGELS
58%
Book Odds: -137
ATHLETICS
47%
Book Odds: +114
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 9.0
41%
Under 9.0
59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
17.5%
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.0%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 5.20
Athletics
3.5
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 5.20
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Loss
62% Win Prob
B
Sim
Athletics
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Athletics (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
B
Sim
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
C
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
LAA @ ATH
3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026
LAA @ ATH
7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026
ATH @ LAA
1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
ATH @ LAA
2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATH @ LAA
9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Athletics
ATH
158
Games Played
158
4.02
Runs / Game
▲
4.34
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.318
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.404
.679
OPS
▲
.721
151
Home Runs
▲
191
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+42.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8
vs
Athletics: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+40.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.2
vs
Athletics: 2.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+28.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.7
vs
Athletics: 6.9
Home Runs (L5)
+45.0% more
Athletics: 1.2
vs
Los Angeles: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
5.0
3
ATH Score
3.5
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.3 / 9.0
13.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.7
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 9.7
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
16.0 / 12.1
20.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.5 / 4.2
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -109 / -110
→
-137 / +114
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9.5
→
9
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
60-98-0
(38.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
63-95-0
(39.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATH
(48.1%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
67-88-3
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8%
Total +/-: +0.2
ATH
81-72-5
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
58%
92-66
59%
94-64
53%
83-74
55%
87-71
ATS
52%
82-76
60%
95-63
51%
80-77
51%
80-78
TTL
54%
83-70-5
52%
79-74-5
42%
64-88-5
51%
78-75-5
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