Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Deportivo vs Sevilla Deportivo vs Sevilla

DEPORTIVODEPORTIVO

1-2-0  |  Home

0
FINAL
Wed, Sep 16 • 1:00 PM ET
Riazor

SEVILLASEVILLA

2-0-1  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
DEPORTIVO
35%
DRAW
31%
SEVILLA
35%
▲ Edge: +15.50% (Sevilla)
37% Book Odds: +170
DRAW --
35% Book Odds: +190
Book Implied: 37% / % / 34.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 39%
Under 2.5 61%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
SEVILLA
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Sevilla)
DeportivoDeportivo (-0.5) 0 SevillaSevilla (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

53.1% / 46.9%

Shots (On Goal)

4(3) / 11(6)

Corners

4 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

1/1 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Sevilla 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Sevilla)

Deportivo By 1 goal

21.1%

Deportivo By 2+ goals

15.9%

Sevilla By 1 goal

21.1%

Sevilla By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 1.50
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
1
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 1.50
0
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
42% Win Prob
C
Sim Deportivo Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sevilla (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Deportivo (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u2.25 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 16, 2026 Deportivo vs Sevilla 0 - 1
Apr 17, 2018 Deportivo vs Sevilla 0 - 0
Dec 2, 2017 Sevilla vs Deportivo 2 - 0
Apr 8, 2017 Sevilla vs Deportivo 4 - 2
Nov 19, 2016 Deportivo vs Sevilla 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +50.0% more
Sevilla: 3.0 vs Deportivo: 2.0
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Deportivo: 3.0 vs Sevilla: 1.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Deportivo: 0.0 vs Sevilla: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +12.5% more
Deportivo: 9.0 vs Sevilla: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Sevilla Score 1.0 1
Deportivo Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Deportivo (Home) vs Sevilla (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Deportivo Share: 50.0% Sevilla Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Deportivo
Sevilla
Deportivo
Sevilla
ML
71% 5-2
86% 6-1
0% 0-7
43% 3-4
ATS
100% 7-0
86% 6-1
0% 0-7
54% 3-3
TTL
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
86% 6-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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