Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / GA Southern @ Coastal GASO @ CCU

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

GA SOUTHERNGASO

2-3  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sat, Oct 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Brooks Stadium (SC)
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

1-4  |  Home

24
Key Game
Tripp Bryant
KEY GAME

Tripp Bryant

#95 | Place kicker
@
Roland Podesta
KEY GAME

Roland Podesta

#42 | Punter
Player
Tripp Bryant None-None
Roland Podesta None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GA SOUTHERN
47%
📊
COASTAL
53%
▲ Edge: +4.60% (CCU)
GA SOUTHERN 56% Book Odds: -125
COASTAL 49% Book Odds: +105
Book Implied: 55.60% / 48.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
53.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +5.5 (Under)
Over 53.5 39%
Under 53.5 61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
+2.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Coastal Carolina)
GA SouthernGASO (-2.5) 0 CoastalCCU (+2.5)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (+2.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

GA Southern Cover

45.5%

Coastal Cover

54.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CCU -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

GASO By 1-6 points

15.9%

GASO By 7-13 points

14.1%

CCU By 1-6 points

16.8%

CCU By 7-13 points

16.6%

AI Model Projected Score
23.2
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 28
24.8
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Implied: 25.50
Simulated Score
29
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 28
28
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Implied: 25.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Coastal Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim GA Southern Win
55% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Coastal (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.6
B
Sim Coastal (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
B
Sim o53.5 Win
Proj Total: 57.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 GASO @ CCU 31 - 24
Nov 15, 2025 CCU @ GASO 40 - 45
Nov 23, 2024 GASO @ CCU 26 - 6
Sep 30, 2023 CCU @ GASO 28 - 38
Oct 1, 2022 GASO @ CCU 30 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +64.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 1.6 vs Georgia Southern: 1.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +11.0% more
Georgia Southern: 0.5 vs Coastal Carolina: 0.4
Time of Possession (L5) +8.0% more
Georgia Southern: 0.5 vs Coastal Carolina: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 23.2 31
CCU Score 24.8 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.4 / 21.1 20.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 119.0 / 110.3 142.0 / 166.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.23 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 354.5 / 369.6 370.0 / 407.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 1.0 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -112 / -108 → -125 / +105 ↓
83%TICKETS17%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -2.5 / +2.5 ↓
38%TICKETS62%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: 52.5 → 53.5 ↑
51%TICKETS49%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO Advantage
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +3.3
CCU
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO Advantage
6-1-0 (85.7%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +3.3
CCU
3-4-0 (42.9%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
3-4-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -4.6
CCU
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
GASO
CCU
GASO
ML
43% 3-4
71% 5-2
71% 5-2
57% 4-3
ATS
29% 2-5
14% 1-6
57% 4-3
57% 4-3
TTL
50% 3-3-1
14% 1-6
67% 4-2-1
57% 4-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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