Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Everton vs Ipswich Everton vs Ipswich

EVERTONEVERTON

1-1-0  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 10:00 AM ET
Hill Dickinson Stadium

IPSWICHIPSWICH

1-0-1  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
EVERTON
61%
DRAW
21%
IPSWICH
18%
▲ Edge: +32.10% (Ipswich Town)
55% Book Odds: -124
DRAW 26% Book Odds: +287
22% Book Odds: +352
Book Implied: 55.40% / 25.80% / 22.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 57%
Under 2.75 43%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
EVERTON
Book Goal Line
-0.75
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Everton)
EvertonEverton (-0.8) 0 IpswichIpswich (+0.8)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

51.7% / 48.3%

Shots (On Goal)

21(2) / 13(4)

Corners

4 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Everton -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Everton)

Everton By 1 goal

26.1%

Everton By 2+ goals

36.9%

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

11.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
EVERTON
Book Implied: 1.80
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
EVERTON
Book Implied: 1.80
0
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Everton Win
46% Win Prob
B
Sim Everton Win
80% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Everton (-0.75)
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Sim Everton (-0.75)
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim u2.8 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 19, 2026 Everton vs Ipswich 1 - 0
May 3, 2025 Everton vs Ipswich 2 - 2
Oct 19, 2024 Ipswich vs Everton 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5) +366.7% more
Everton: 3.0 vs Ipswich: 14.0
Draws (L5) +300.0% more
Everton: 3.0 vs Ipswich: 0.0
Losses (L5) +300.0% more
Everton: 0.0 vs Ipswich: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5) +25.0% more
Ipswich: 10.0 vs Everton: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Ipswich Town Score 1.0 0
Everton Score 2.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Everton (Home) vs Ipswich Town (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Everton Share: 66.7% Ipswich Town Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Everton
Ipswich Town
Everton
Ipswich Town
ML
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
ATS
89% 4-0
67% 3-1
33% 1-3
33% 1-3
TTL
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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