COVENTRYCOVENTRY
0-0-2 | Home
0
BRIGHTONBRIGHTON
1-0-1 | Away
5
AI Model Win Probability
COVENTRY
18%
DRAW
21%
BRIGHTON
61%
▲ Edge: +28.90% (Coventry City)
26%
Book Odds: +286
DRAW
26%
Book Odds: +287
51%
Book Odds: -105
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75
62%
Under 2.75
38%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
BRIGHTON
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Brighton)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
30.6% / 69.4%
Shots (On Goal)
14(6) / 22(7)
Corners
5 / 3
Cards (Y/R)
0/1 - 0/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Brighton & Hove Albion -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Brighton & Hove Albion)
Coventry City By 1 goal
11.1%
Coventry City By 2+ goals
4.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion By 1 goal
26.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion By 2+ goals
36.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Coventry
1
COVENTRY
Book Implied: 1.10
Brighton
2
BRIGHTON
Book Implied: 1.60
Simulated Score
Coventry
1
COVENTRY
Book Implied: 1.10
Brighton
2
BRIGHTON
Book Implied: 1.60
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brighton & Hove Albion
Win
45% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brighton & Hove Albion
Win
62% Win Prob
B
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brighton & Hove Albion (-0.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Brighton & Hove Albion (-0.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o2.75
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
A
Sim
o2.8
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
Coventry vs Brighton
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5)
+200.0% more
Brighton: 2.0
vs
Coventry: 0.0
Losses (L5)
+200.0% more
Brighton: 1.0
vs
Coventry: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+100.0% more
Brighton: 12.0
vs
Coventry: 6.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+40.0% more
Brighton: 5.0
vs
Coventry: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Brighton & Hove Albion Score
2.0
5
Coventry City Score
1.0
0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Coventry City (Home)
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Coventry City
Brighton & Hove Albion
Coventry City
Brighton & Hove Albion
ML
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
ATS
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
TTL
75%
3-1-1
56%
2-2
50%
2-2-1
56%
2-2