SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
73-83 | Road
2
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
57-99 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kade Anderson
#13 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
Tomoyuki Sugano
#11 | SP| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kade Anderson | 1-2 | 5.33 | 1.42 | 25.1 | 21 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | 12-10 | 5.49 | 1.36 | 142.2 | 86 |
1-2
W-L
12-10
5.33 Ldr
ERA
5.49
1.42
WHIP
Ldr 1.36
25.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 142.2
21
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 86
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
57%
ROCKIES
43%
▲ Edge: +0.60% (COL)
MARINERS
62%
Book Odds: -163
ROCKIES
43%
Book Odds: +135
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
11.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 11.0
45%
Under 11.0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.5%
COL By 1-2 runs
15.0%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 6.20
Colorado
4.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 6.20
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
57% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mariners
Win
61% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u11.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim
u11.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
SEA @ COL
2 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
SEA @ COL
3 - 5
Sep 18, 2026
SEA @ COL
5 - 4
Sep 25, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 6
Sep 24, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Colorado
COL
159
Games Played
159
4.05
Runs / Game
▲
4.65
.231
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.312
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.323
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.690
OPS
▲
.740
180
▲
Home Runs
175
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+89.2% more
Seattle: 1.5
vs
Colorado: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+75.7% more
Seattle: 1.5
vs
Colorado: 0.4
Total Bases (L5)
+13.6% more
Seattle: 16.1
vs
Colorado: 13.9
Home Runs (Season)
+2.8% more
Seattle: 180.0
vs
Colorado: 175.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
6.0
2
COL Score
4.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.4 / 8.9
5.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 8.3
10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 16.1
10.0 / 5.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.0
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -162 / +134
→
-163 / +135
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 10.5
→
11
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
74-85-0
(46.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
57-102-0
(35.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(36.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.6%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
83-68-8
O: 55.0% / U: 45.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
COL
76-78-5
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SEA
COL
SEA
ML
60%
95-63
50%
79-80
54%
86-72
52%
83-76
ATS
60%
95-63
60%
96-63
52%
82-76
59%
94-65
TTL
59%
90-62-6
55%
82-67-10
50%
76-76-6
52%
78-71-10
Contextual Game News
Padres Host Diamondbacks in Regular-Season Finale with Postseaso…
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Issues Apology for Contract Remarks as Blu…
Padres' Craig Stammen Explains Why Team Isn't Satisfied With Jus…
Cubs and Red Sox to Wrap Regular Season at Tropicana Field Due t…
Torey Lovullo's Future in Arizona: Diamondbacks Face Contract De…