Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Getafe vs Deportivo Getafe vs Deportivo

GETAFEGETAFE

2-2-3  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Sep 13 • 12:30 PM ET
Estadio Coliseum

DEPORTIVODEPORTIVO

2-4-1  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
GETAFE
35%
DRAW
31%
DEPORTIVO
35%
▲ Edge: +18.30% (Deportivo)
39% Book Odds: +160
DRAW --
32% Book Odds: +215
Book Implied: 38.50% / % / 31.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
1.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 1.5 33%
Under 1.5 67%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
DEPORTIVO
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Deportivo)
GetafeGetafe (-0.5) 0 DeportivoDeportivo (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

35.9% / 64.1%

Shots (On Goal)

15(4) / 10(3)

Corners

3 / 7

Cards (Y/R)

3/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Deportivo 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Deportivo)

Getafe By 1 goal

21.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

15.9%

Deportivo By 1 goal

21.1%

Deportivo By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1
1
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 0.50
Simulated Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1
0
DEPORTIVO
Book Implied: 0.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
40% Win Prob
B
Sim Getafe Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Deportivo (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Sim Getafe (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.0 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Sim u1.5 Loss
Proj Total: 1.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 Getafe vs Deportivo 1 - 1
Sep 30, 2017 Deportivo vs Getafe 2 - 1
May 1, 2016 Deportivo vs Getafe 0 - 2
Dec 30, 2015 Getafe vs Deportivo 0 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Deportivo: 2.0 vs Getafe: 1.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Deportivo: 1.0 vs Getafe: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +33.3% more
Deportivo: 8.0 vs Getafe: 6.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +20.0% more
Getafe: 5.0 vs Deportivo: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Deportivo Score 1.0 1
Getafe Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Getafe (Home) vs Deportivo (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Getafe Share: 50.0% Deportivo Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Getafe
Deportivo
Getafe
Deportivo
ML
57% 4-3
71% 5-2
71% 5-2
0% 0-7
ATS
43% 3-4
100% 7-0
57% 4-3
0% 0-7
TTL
57% 4-3
57% 4-3
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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