Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Levante vs Barcelona Levante vs Barcelona

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-2-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sun, Sep 13 • 10:15 AM ET
Estadi Ciutat de València

BARCELONABARCELONA

7-0-0  |  Away

4
AI Model Win Probability
LEVANTE
9%
DRAW
13%
BARCELONA
78%
▲ Edge: +29.60% (Levante)
8% Book Odds: +1200
DRAW --
85% Book Odds: -575
Book Implied: 7.70% / % / 85.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
4.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 4.5 39%
Under 4.5 61%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+2.0
LEVANTE
Book Goal Line
+2.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Levante)
LevanteLevante (+2.5) 0 BarcelonaBarcelona (-2.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

25.1% / 74.9%

Shots (On Goal)

13(7) / 12(6)

Corners

3 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

9.1%

Cover

90.9%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Levante +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Levante)

Levante By 1 goal

3.8%

Levante By 2+ goals

1.0%

Barcelona By 1 goal

21.1%

Barcelona By 2+ goals

63.1%

AI Model Projected Score
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
3
BARCELONA
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
4
BARCELONA
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Barcelona Win
63% Win Prob
A
Sim Barcelona Win
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Levante (+2.25) Win
Proj Goals: +2.0
A
Sim Barcelona (-2.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u4.0 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
B
Sim o4.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 Levante vs Barcelona 2 - 4
Feb 22, 2026 Barcelona vs Levante 3 - 0
Aug 23, 2025 Levante vs Barcelona 2 - 3
Apr 10, 2022 Levante vs Barcelona 2 - 3
Sep 26, 2021 Barcelona vs Levante 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +175.0% more
Barcelona: 22.0 vs Levante: 8.0
Wins (L5) +150.0% more
Barcelona: 5.0 vs Levante: 2.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +100.0% more
Barcelona: 3.0 vs Levante: 6.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Barcelona: 0.0 vs Levante: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Barcelona Score 3.0 4
Levante Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 9.4% Draw: 13.1% Away Win: 77.5%
Levante (Home) vs Barcelona (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Levante Share: 25.0% Barcelona Share: 75.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Levante
Barcelona
Levante
Barcelona
ML
83% 5-1
100% 7-0
50% 3-3
100% 7-0
ATS
83% 5-1
43% 3-4
33% 2-4
86% 6-1
TTL
50% 3-3
14% 1-6
50% 3-3
71% 5-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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