SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
72-83 | Road
3
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
57-98 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryce Miller
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Quintana
#62 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 4-9 | 4.19 | 1.16 | 107.1 | 106 |
| Jose Quintana | 2-3 | 5.27 | 1.51 | 41.0 | 20 |
4-9
W-L
2-3
4.19 Ldr
ERA
5.27
1.16 Ldr
WHIP
1.51
107.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
41.0
106 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
20
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
60%
ROCKIES
40%
▲ Edge: +0.70% (SEA)
MARINERS
60%
Book Odds: -149
ROCKIES
45%
Book Odds: +123
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
10.5
Over / Under Line
Over 10.5
50%
Under 10.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.5%
COL By 1-2 runs
15.0%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 6
Colorado
4.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 6
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mariners
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u10.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim
u10.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
SEA @ COL
2 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
SEA @ COL
3 - 5
Sep 18, 2026
SEA @ COL
5 - 4
Sep 25, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 6
Sep 24, 2025
COL @ SEA
2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.693
OPS
▲
.739
182
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+56.3% more
Seattle: 1.3
vs
Colorado: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+49.0% more
Seattle: 0.7
vs
Colorado: 0.2
Walks (L5)
+30.2% more
Seattle: 3.5
vs
Colorado: 2.4
Hits (L5)
+20.0% more
Colorado: 11.2
vs
Seattle: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
6.0
3
COL Score
4.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.7
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
11.2 / 9.3
9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.3
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.5
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.4 / 16.2
9.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.4 / 3.5
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -186 / +153
→
-149 / +123
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 10.5
→
10.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SEA
COL
SEA
ML
60%
97-64
50%
81-81
55%
88-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-64
60%
98-64
52%
83-78
59%
95-67
TTL
60%
93-62-6
56%
85-67-10
50%
77-78-6
53%
81-71-10
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