DETROIT
TIGERSDET
73-82 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
79-76 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jackson Jobe
#21 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Jobe | 2-2 | 3.89 | 1.27 | 34.2 | 34 |
| Sean Burke | 9-7 | 3.47 | 1.20 | 161.0 | 173 |
2-2
W-L
9-7
3.89
ERA
Ldr 3.47
1.27
WHIP
Ldr 1.20
34.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 161.0
34
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 173
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
49%
WHITE SOX
51%
▲ Edge: +2.30% (DET)
TIGERS
47%
Book Odds: +113
WHITE SOX
58%
Book Odds: -136
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 8.0
60%
Under 8.0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
15.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
9.5%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.8
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.20
Chicago
5.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.20
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.4
D
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
181
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+34.5% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Detroit: 72.0%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.5%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Detroit: 32.0%
Batting Avg (Season)
+8.3%
Chicago: 32.4%
vs
Detroit: 24.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.8
1
CHW Score
5.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.5
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.8 / 11.0
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.2 / 8.5
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 17.1
8.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.6 / 4.9
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +109 / -131
→
+113 / -136
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-81-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
97-70-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49%
82-87
54%
86-73
56%
94-75
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
100-69
64%
101-58
55%
93-76
57%
91-69
TTL
58%
97-70-2
46%
69-81-9
51%
85-82-2
46%
69-81-10
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