DETROIT
TIGERSDET
73-81 | Road
11
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
78-76 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Sears
#64 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
David Sandlin
#54 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sears | 0-1 | 5.40 | 1.38 | 16.2 | 13 |
| David Sandlin | 2-2 | 5.64 | 1.19 | 30.1 | 29 |
0-1
W-L
2-2
5.40 Ldr
ERA
5.64
1.38
WHIP
Ldr 1.19
16.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 30.1
13
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 29
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
50%
WHITE SOX
50%
▲ Edge: +2.10% (DET)
TIGERS
48%
Book Odds: +109
WHITE SOX
57%
Book Odds: -132
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 8.0
59%
Under 8.0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
15.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
9.5%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.8
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.20
Chicago
5.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.20
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.4
D
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
181
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+34.5% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Home Runs (L5)
+22.0% more
Chicago: 0.8
vs
Detroit: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+12.2% more
Chicago: 8.8
vs
Detroit: 7.8
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Detroit: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.8
11
CHW Score
5.2
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 1.3
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
6.6 / 8.5
7.0 / 16.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.6
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 7.8
10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 12.2
13.0 / 27.0
Walks
3.4 / 4.9
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +109 / -131
→
+109 / -132
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
48%
81-87
54%
86-73
56%
94-74
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
99-69
64%
101-58
55%
93-75
57%
91-69
TTL
58%
97-69-2
46%
69-81-9
51%
85-81-2
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox